Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 939.233624 1056.739276 1184.672537 1334.529867 1505.544775 1694.952088 1921.078567
2026-01-25 768.137780 930.445812 1122.033259 1365.879234 1669.417137 2036.665252 2517.447159
2026-02-01 666.483832 849.618386 1078.306370 1386.944829 1795.780237 2323.168538 3062.101283
2026-02-08 591.967307 785.996877 1039.469343 1398.184270 1898.134281 2578.129927 3586.538039
2026-02-15 536.358324 737.343458 1010.247368 1412.629537 1998.838882 2834.146045 4136.928845
2026-02-22 495.653333 702.789620 993.924965 1439.329392 2114.807336 3119.139118 4760.102374
2026-03-01 445.152297 648.133094 942.020564 1406.227370 2135.281583 3260.476016 5176.103817
2026-03-08 399.614937 595.779690 887.456592 1361.635099 2130.359188 3357.874208 5528.262021
2026-03-15 360.893634 549.835675 837.712049 1318.306138 2120.684032 3443.260221 5866.246497
2026-03-22 345.672531 538.613418 840.136060 1357.679080 2248.861368 3767.923405 6658.028181
2026-03-29 327.496554 520.884209 830.215930 1374.915407 2340.088142 4037.476622 7383.331322
2026-04-05 309.145486 501.177596 815.070609 1381.195914 2411.707825 4278.350206 8084.063759
2026-04-12 291.547000 481.718891 799.366281 1386.178227 2483.702363 4532.086607 8854.344933
2026-04-19 280.213430 472.003809 799.473192 1419.437444 2611.672264 4906.529938 9924.745156
2026-04-26 268.070920 459.786931 793.962132 1441.431044 2719.852343 5254.067868 10988.765595
2026-05-03 255.460718 445.661419 783.706291 1453.158583 2808.528330 5571.780530 12033.865931
2026-05-10 244.393489 433.407583 775.730784 1468.231258 2904.998642 5916.024069 13189.983683
2026-05-17 235.885648 425.165201 774.430130 1496.092519 3030.440703 6336.183841 14588.541142
2026-05-24 220.250817 402.375127 743.701913 1461.550946 3019.432818 6455.052024 15273.474081
2026-05-31 204.516638 378.299126 708.695404 1415.025023 2977.390845 6498.591492 15775.216827
2026-06-07 190.212091 356.041299 675.674761 1369.823505 2933.690709 6533.129623 16258.980577
2026-06-14 186.362105 354.026256 682.774873 1410.897775 3089.543569 7056.869569 18126.209557
2026-06-21 180.296187 347.149182 679.464181 1428.880524 3193.658731 7467.971927 19754.986957